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World trade growth stagnated in Q1 amid the escalating trade war. While we expect some recovery in 2019, further escalation of the trade war could grind growth to a halt.

European pro-trade policy likely to stay in place after the European elections

In 2019 Austrian economic growth is expected to decelerate after a robust performance in 2018, mainly due to weaker external demand and lower investment.

Swiss economic growth is expected to slow down in 2019, as external demand from the Eurozone and the US has weakened and investment growth decreases.

The Danish economy has regained some of its international competitiveness due to structural reforms that addressed the issue of high labour costs.

A potential downside risk to the economic performance could be the high household debt in case of sharp house price decreases and interest rate increases.

In 2019 the number of Belgian business insolvencies will still be higher than the levels seen before the start of the global credit crisis in 2008.

The Irish economy is expected to grow by about 2.5% in 2019, but remains exposed to ongoing economic uncertainties stemming from the Brexit decision.

Household consumption is sustained by rising employment, higher wages and low interest rates, while lower financing costs support business investments.

In 2019 Dutch export performance is impacted by lower demand from France and Germany, the ongoing Brexit issue and increased global trade uncertainty.